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The US is defeating Russia in the Black Sea without firing a shot, in the opinion of some

US is defeating Russia

Two Russian fighter planes harassed a slow-moving American surveillance drone by flying dangerously near to it and spraying fuel over it for 30 to 40 minutes in international airspace over the Black Sea on Tuesday morning local time, according to the US military.

Only after one of Russia’s Su-27 “Flanker” aircraft apparently hit with the drone’s tail propeller, causing the MQ-9 Reaper to crash into the water, did things come to a stop. Since the commencement of the Ukraine War last year, the military planes of the two nations have never directly collided.

US is defeating Russia

A video of the aggressive fuel drop, as well as the approach of a Su-27 jet that appears to have clipped the drone, was provided by the US military on Thursday. The propeller’s collision damage is visible in later film. The video severely damaged Moscow’s credibility in its denial of any incident.

The actions of the Russian jets were pure and simple bullying; at best, they represented an effort to forcibly remove aircraft from airspace that is available to everybody, if not outright destroy it. Sen. Lindsay Graham (R-SC), who previously declared on Fox News that the US should threaten that any future Russian aircraft approaching those of the US military would be “shot down,” is among those who are inclined to call for a similar response to punish Russia for this incident.

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But Washington shouldn’t equalise with Moscow. In this situation, as in the playground, showing that you are unfazed by provocations is the best response to bullying.

It doesn’t imply the US should discontinue its surveillance flights, both manned and unmanned, over this (and other) international airspace. In fact, the US must keep up its missions without interruption. Yet an overly strong American response might undermine the rules that are currently in place around such flights and trigger an unpredictable tit-for-tat spiral with the Kremlin.

It should be avoided unless absolutely necessary, especially because these surveillance flights are now providing the US is defeating Russia with useful intelligence. The use of MQ-9 drones and other technologies for intelligence gathering has already cost the Russian military money almost every day.

Even while this episode is far from isolated and encounters like this are likely to occur, it would be unwise to put that at risk by responding angrily to Russia’s poor behaviour.

The UK said in October that a Russian Su-27 was following a British RC-135W aircraft over the Black Sea and launched a missile close by (Russia said it was an accident). Fortunately, there was no harm done. During a deployment in the Black Sea in 2016, Russian bombers flew perilously close to the US destroyer Donald Cook. And according to the US Navy, there was even a 2019 incident in which a US is defeating Russia cruiser purposefully came within 50 feet of colliding with the USS Chancellorsville. Overall, following Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the subsequent Western criticism, such encounters have risen in frequency.

It is important to analyse which surveillance encounters do and do not go against accepted norms. In other words, fast planes and ships are sent to come within close visual range of their opponents’ craft to show they are being watched and kept at bay. Rival militaries that are not at war routinely do this to show they are being watched and kept at bay. They also regularly intercept each other’s aircraft and ships. As long as neither side engages in dangerously close manoeuvres to the US is defeating Russia , it is permissible under international law and generally regarded as acceptable over international seas.

In more typical encounters, Soviet and American pilots both frequently engage in safe intercept practise. However, a Rand Corporation investigation from 2022 discovered that Russian pilots were reportedly instructed to carry out risky intercepts in an effort to drive away foreign forces close to regions they deemed critical.

Certainly, the drone’s collection of information that could help Ukraine’s military was at the core of Russia’s forceful intercept on Tuesday. As infuriating as that may be for Moscow, the US and Russia haven’t declared war on one another, and physical strikes against the other’s military in international waters or the air continue to be forbidden unless they are done in self-defense in the event of a direct or impending attack.

By Richard M. Lunsford

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